-
ISRAEL
- PARAGRAPH REPEATED FROM JULY:
- Middle East News: EU's Solana calls Mideast peace agreement
by end of 2007 - January 18, 2007
- Cairo - European Union chief diplomat Javier Solana and Egyptian
Foreign Minister Ahmed Abul-Gheit in Cairo on Thursday called
on Israel and the Palestinians to reach a peace agreement by
the end of 2007.
- During the short visit by Solana to Egypt, both ministers
also called on the United States to aim for progress in the conflict
by the end of the year, as the time before the 2008 elections
acted as a 'window' of opportunity in which the parties to the
conflict could find agreement on fundamental issues.
- Solana said that the region needed to reach an 'end of the
game.' Solana, who earlier Thursday also met Egyptian President
Hosni Mubarak, is to continue his tour in Israel, the Palestinian
territories and Jordan.
- Source: Deutsche Presse-Agentur
- Comment on why Solana could be the Anti-Christ - Author Constance
Cumbey and here is why:
- Servant wrote this comment:
May 3rd, 2007 - 'Man of Sin' related to Javier Solona
- 1. Roman Decent - Solona from Spain Dan. 9:26
2. He will end the sacrifice - Seeds for 2010 European Neighborhood
policy (ENP) Dan 9:27
3. Make War with the Saints - Seeds / fruit we know what he thinks
of Islam a religion that teaches kids to hate and become suicide
bombers. Dan 7:21
4. Diverse Kingdom devour the whole earth - Seeds EU GDP 15 trillion
vs US 13 trillion in 2006 Dan 7:23
5. 10 Kingdoms united in the Romsn empire having power - Western
European Union (WEU). 1995 Greece became the 10th permanent member
of WEU. Dan 7:24
6. Anti - Christ rises up after 10 kingdoms among them - Solona
1998 Dan 7:24
7. Out of the Sea - Solona born in Spain predominantly surrounded
by water Rev 13:1
8. Anti-Christ number is counted as 666 - Solona was given his
authority through Recommendation 666 and Article 666 Rev 13:18
9. Anti-Christ will establish False Peace - Solona is one of
the four major players involved in Middle East Peace process
known as Quartet Rev 6:2
10. Demonic power clearly preparing the way - See RFID articles
related to a company named Somark 2 Thes 2:7
11. Confirm (strengthen existing) a covenant with many - ENP
Jan 1, 2007 - Dec 31, 2013 (about 47 countries). Dan 9:26
- Why would the Commander and Chief give us the imperative
to 'WATCH (Mark 13:37)' if we couldn't know when and who was
coming? No doubt we can't know the 'day or hour' of the rapture
but many other dates seem to be on the table. As for Solona,
all that is missing is a big NEON sign. By grace we can know
and get the word out. We can prepare for the enormous ministy.
1 Thes 5:1-6
But of the times and the Seasons, brethren, ye have no need that
I write unto you. For yourselves know perfectly that the day
of the Lord so cometh as a thief in the night. For when they
shall say, Peace and Safety; then sudden destruction cometh upon
them, as travail upon a woman with child; and they
shall not escape. But ye, bretheren,
are not in darkness that that day should overtake you as a thief."
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- SOMARK: THE BIO-INK TATTOO
- Somark is a St. Louis based tech company that is developing
a patented ID system based on a RFID Bio-Ink Tattoo. When applied,
the ink creates a unique ID that can be detected without line
of sight. The technology will be initially applied to the livestock
industry to help identify and track cattle.
- Somark's goals are to 1) ensure a safe food supply and 2)
prevent export trade loss from food animal disease scares, e.g.
BSE (a.k.a. Mad Cow Disease).
- Somark has received funding from Med-Pharmex Animal Health
and the St. Louis Arch Angels.
- http://www.somarkinnovations.com/
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- INVISIBLE RFID INK SAFE FOR CATTLE AND PEOPLE
- Company Says The process involves micro-needles and an ink
capsule to create a stamp that can be read from four feet away
By K.C. Jones - InformationWeek - January 13, 2007 (From the
January 15, 2007 issue) A startup company has developed a chipless
radio frequency identification ink that it says has been successfully
stamped on cattle and read from as much as 4 feet away.
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- RFID stamps instead of ear tags?
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- The most common RFID systems, such as those used for
toll-road passes or for tracking merchandise in warehouses, contain
a chip and antenna. The process revealed by Somark Innovations
last week uses an array of microneedles and an applicator with
a one-time-use ink capsule to stamp an animal. The ink can be
colored or invisible, and applied through fur.
- The company sees a market for the passive RFID technology
to track cows in order to reduce financial losses from cases
of mad cow disease. Somark, formed in 2005 in St. Louis, is raising
venture financing and hopes to license the technology for use
with laboratory animals, dogs, and cats; for tracking prime cuts
of meat; and even for tracking military personnel.
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Ranchers might want an invisible stamp in order to make it more
difficult for cattle thieves to tell which animals have been
marked. Today, cattle are often tracked with ear tags.
- Current chipless RFID systems include those with metal fibers
embedded in paper and packaging materials. Other uses include
tracking documents, preventing counterfeits, and creating "smart
labels."
- Co-founder Mark Pydynowski declines to say what is in its
ink, except that it doesn't contain metals and is 100% biocompatible
and chemically inert. That could let ranchers and meat buyers
use stamps to verify that select cuts of meat originated in a
hormone-free environment, Pydynowski says, adding that consumers
would destroy the system by breaking down the ink when chewing
the meat. That would prevent Big Brother from using a scanner
to know whether someone ate a Big Mac or a filet mignon.
- For people squeamish about the use of RFID, who worry about
a tag on every item invading privacy, the digestibility of chipless
RFID ink isn't likely to be enough to put their minds at ease.
- http://www.informationweek.com/news/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=196900670
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- CUFI WASHINGTON ISRAEL SUMMIT
 Christians United for Israel (CUFI)
sponsors its annual summit in Washington, DC 16-19 July. Last
year, the summit brought 3,500 people. This year, CUFI hopes
to attract twice that number of people. FrontPageMag.com has
an article by Shelly Neese: "The Rise of CUFI" that
examines the CUFI phenomenon and its mixed reception in the Jewish
community.
- Fellowship Church is sending a delegation to the event, so
look for news next week on interaction with the policy makers
inside the Beltway.
- IN WASHINGTON DC JULY 16-19, 2007 - 2007 for our 2nd Annual
Israel/Washington DC Summit The enemies of Israel are the enemies
of America. They are the enemies of life, liberty and the pursuit
of happiness. These enemies have drawn the battle line. If a
line has to be drawn...then draw that line around both Christians
and Jews...WE ARE ONE...WE ARE UNITED. America, Israel and the
world are facing a great danger in the Middle East. Iran's president
has become the new Hitler, and has sworn to blast Israel off
the map with nuclear weapons. We are reliving history! When the
Jews of Europe were marched to the gas chambers in Hitler’s
holocaust...the Christians of the world were strangely quiet.
Never again! Not on our watch! The sleeping giant in America
has awakened! (John Hagee, Chairman)
- WE ARE UNITED FOR ISRAEL! WE ARE SPEAKING OUT FOR ISRAEL!
We hear the voice of Hamen ranting from Iran but the church of
Jesus Christ will be silent no more! This time the spirit of
Ester will prevail. Christians United for Israel was organized
to bring every pro-Israel church, ministry and individual together
to speak out and stand up for Israel and the Jewish people. http://cufi.org/WA2007_information.aspx
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- NYC:TISHA B'AV PRAYER SERVICE FOR ISRAEL & JEWS IN DANGER
WORLDWIDE
- TUESDAY, JULY 24TH - 2 PM ISAIAH PEACE WALL - FIRST AVENUE
& 43RD STREET, OPPOSITE THE UNITED NATIONS
- Israel is again threatened by hate-filled terrorists, from
Hamas to Hizbollah. Iran vows to liquidate Israel. Syria is moving
troops next to the Golan. Israel's kidnapped soldiers remain
captive. Europe's Jews face rising anti-semtism from Moslem extremists.
The many acts of anti-Semitism in the former USSR remain unchecked.
Thousands of Jews remain in Ethiopia under dire conditions, unable
to reach Israel.
- Join our annual Tisha B'Av outdoor prayer service for Jewish
communities in danger at the dramatic Isaiah Peace Wall opposite
the UN. It is a traditional mincha, complete with Torah reading.
- Since we began our outdoor prayer service 30 years ago, thousands
have found participation to be a most meaningful way to observe
the Tisha B'Av fast. Prayers will be led by Rabbi Avi Weiss,
national president of Amcha-Coalition for Jewish Concerns. Coordinated
by Amcha-Coalition for Jewish Concerns, 3700 Henry Hudson Parkway,
Riverdale, NY 10463, along with Student Struggle for Soviet Jewry.
Info: leave message at (212) 663-5784. (Please help spread the
word! Simply e-mail Tishabav@aol.com, and we'll e-mail you a
flyer which you can copy and distribute.) http://www.imra.org.il/story.php3?id=35301
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- NEW MAP FOR THE MIDDLE EAST
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- BARRY CHAMISH VINDICATED
- By Barry Chamish
- I will not gloat. Events are too distressing for that. But
as the WarReport noted, once again I'm vindicated. I warned my
readers that the very bad side of Zionism, that of the the peacemakers
of Labor Zionism, have no scruples about murdering Jews. They
hate the religious and have been killing their bravest and brightest
to eliminate them as a force in "their" Israel. I said
they brought the Sephardim to Israel to use as guinea pigs in
atomic experiments. Now finally, watch the complete Ringworm
Children. For once Jews, learn the only possible lesson from
the truth. In Hebrew with English subtitles:
- The story Barry Chamish exposed years ago about atrocities
committed on 1000's of Sephardic children in the 50's, "The
Ringworm Children", by using massive doses of radiation,
can now be seen in this video documentary here:
http://video.google.com/googleplayer.swf?docId=5681201882713148969
- BENEDICTINE XV WAS INSTALLED AS POPE
- in Aug. 1914 to oversee the Vatican's slaughter of the Great
War. The current pope did not call himself Benedict the 16th
by accident. He will oversee the next great mass murder as the
new war pope. How often have I said that Shimon Peres despises
Jews and is nothing more than the Vatican's spy in Israel? Well,
pop down to the notes and read the pope's note to the new, ugh,
ichseh, feh, President of Israel, Shimon blaugh, fooya, Peres.
This is the selfsame monster who, as Chairman of the Israeli
Atomic Energy Commission, conducted the selfsame atomic experiments
on the hapless Sephardi children.
- Did you know that the ceremonial position of Israeli President
is now "the highest ranking position in your country?"
- And who can forget the e-mail from a French hospital worker
to me, stating that Yasir Arafat was actually dying of AIDS and
his hospital was ordered not to say a word? I said it first but
now I'm vindicated by "Ahmad Jibril, Secretary-General of
the PFLP General Command, on Hizballah's Al-Manar TV, publicly
admitting the truth about Yasser Arafat's death for the first
time."
- Wasn't it just last week that I told you all that Wikipedia
wrote a lying bio of me and there was no changing it? So let
us all thank my friend Dr. Les Sachs for exposing that Wikipedia
is run by everyone's enemy, deep in the shadows of what we call
"the government."
- http://www.banned-in-the-usa.net/wikipedia-us-govt-fraud.html
- I leave you with one question that baffles me. Why do I need
vindication?
- NOTES:
- From YNETnews.com 07.14.07:
- POPE URGES PERES TO ADVANCE PEACE
- Pope Benedict XVI urges Peres to work towards peace between
Israel, Palestinians as president Ronny Sofer \ Pope Benedict
XVI urged Shimon Peres to advance peace between Israel and the
Palestinians in his new capacity as the President of the Jewish
State.
- Peres will be sworn in as president at a special ceremony
at the Knesset on Sunday evening.
- "On the eve of your appointment as the President of
the State of Israel I would like to express my deepest wishes
and congratulate you for you appointment to the highest ranking
position in your country," the Pope wrote in a letter sent
to Peres.
- "Many people around the world, as well as Israel's citizens
expect you to push the government and other relevant bodies to
do everything to advance peace," the Pope added.
- "Mr. President," the Pope added, "Your reputation
and achievements are exceptional, clear and absolute in the field
of peace and the pursuit of justice. I am sure you will continue
to influence and incite courage in other leaders to deal with
the challenges of the future in the clear hope to advance the
good a peace."
- "This will be the best way to defeat the deadly terror
and violence that are condemned by the whole world. The terrorists
are betraying humanity," he said.
- Israel's Ambassador to Italy Oded Ben-Horin said the Pope's
letter was personal, warm and unusual.
- Peres was congratulated by a string of world leaders that
included the presidents of Egypt, Jordan, Russia and China. http://memritv.org/
- WHAT HAPPENED TO THE INVESTIGATION OF ARAFAT'S DEATH?
- Ahmad Jibril: When Abu Mazen came to Damascus with his team,
I asked them: "What happened to the investigation into the
death of Abu Ammar [Arafat]? The Israelis killed him. He was
my colleague ever since 1965 and used to sleep at my home. He
and I followed the same path." Is it conceivable that when
Rafiq Al-Hariri was killed, all hell broke loose, even though
he was just a merchant in Saudi Arabia, who later entered politics,
whereas the death of Yasser Arafat, who for 40 years had been
carrying his gun from one place to another, is not investigate?
Is this conceivable?
- They were silent, and then one of them said to me: "To
be honest, the French gave us the medical report, that stated
that the cause of Abu Ammar's death was AIDS." I am not
saying this, they did. Now they pretend that they miss Yasser
Arafat, and complain that [Hamas] entered his house in [Gaza]
and so on... I say to every honorable member of the Fatah movement
that he should be happy that we got rid of the plague, which
had been imposed upon them and upon the Palestinian people. The
Fatah movement now has an opportunity to renew itself. http://www.thebarrychamishwebsite.com
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- INDIA, PAKISTAN, IRAN AGREE ON "PRICE FORMULA"
FOR IPI PROJECT
- July 16, 2007 India, India, Pakistan, Iran agree on "price
formula" for IPI project New Delhi, July 16, IRNA - Iran
news agency www2.irna.com/en/news/view/menu-234/0707162027113325.htm
India, Pakistan and Iran have agreed on a "price formula"
that will govern the cost of gas through the Iran- Pakistan-India
(IPI) gas pipeline based on the price of natural gas in Japan,
which they have accepted as the most suitable yardstick. Japan
currently accounts for half the natural gas consumption of the
world and its energy market is not as erratic as others. According
to an Asian Age report, the special representative of the Iranian
minister of oil on IPI and director of international affairs
in the oil ministry, Hojatollah Ghanimifard, said in remarks
that a model had been worked out so that "when the contract
is signed, no set figure would be mentioned and the price will
be calculated according to the said formula.
- "For example, if gas is to be transferred four years
later, at that time, we would introduce the price of Japan's
imported crude oil, not when the contract is signed." He
said that the agreement on the inclusion of a price line in the
contract has been a major achievement in the last round of trilateral
negotiations.
- The main hitch, according to Ghanimifard, is the inability
of India and Pakistan to reach a final conclusion on gas duties.
He said a decision had been taken to resolve this at the petroleum
ministers' level, with indications that Murli Deora will now
visit Islamabad to finalize the details. This will be a crucial
meeting and was expected to be held this month although no dates
have been fixed as yet, particularly as a bilateral agreement
on gas duties between New Delhi and Islamabad is essential for
the trilateral contract to be finalized. Continued: http://www.imra.org.il/story.php3?id=35297
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- MOST GAZA EVACUEES WON'T GET PERMANENT HOUSING FOR 3 YEARS
- Wednesday, July 11, 2007 By Nadav Shragai, Haaretz Correspondent
Last update - 11/07/2007 The vast majority of those evacuated
from Gaza Strip settlements in the 2005 disengagement will continue
to live in temporary housing arrangements for the next three
years, according to information presented at a meeting of the
State Control Committee on Tuesday. The deputy director general
of the Prime Minister's Office, Ra'anan Dinur, told the committee
that construction has begun on only two of the 24 communities
and neighborhoods designated as the future homes of the Gaza
Strip evacuees.
- Participants in the meeting, which was lead by committee
chairman MK Zevulun Orlev (National Union-National Religious
Party), learned that at least 75 percent of the families currently
living in temporary housing sites will remain in them for three
more years. The original plans called for the permanent resettlement
of all the evacuees within two years of the August 2005 withdrawal.
- Between 1,200 and 1,500 of the families evacuated from Gaza
and the northern West Bank are living in 16 different temporary
sites. Dinur said the government recognizes the need to resettle
the former settlers as communities rather than as individual
families. Since the disengagement, evacuees have accused the
government of foot-dragging on the construction of permanent
housing.
- MK Zvi Hendel (National Union-NRP) and evacuee representatives
claimed that in contrast to Dinur's claim, the government considered
community-based solutions for the evacuees only in the wake of
pressure from the families.Continued: http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/880494.html
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- IDF: WAR WITH SYRIA WOULD BE 10 TIMES WORSE THAN HIZBULLAH
- July 11, 2007 - THE JERUSALEM POST - Predicting that war
with Syria could erupt if Prime Minister Ehud Olmert does not
begin peace negotiations with Damascus, the latest IDF assessment
also states that such a conflict would be "at least 10 times
worse" than last summer's conflict with Hizbullah.
- Military Intelligence is also identifying and pinpointing
targets for the IDF in the event that a strike is launched against
Iran's nuclear facilities. MI recently established a new division
to translate intelligence into concrete targets and information
that can be used by units in the field. The new division is headed
by Brig.-Gen. Nitzan Alon, a former commander of the General
Staff's Reconnaissance Unit (Sayeret Matkal.) The Israel Air
Force has its own department that is responsible for processing
intelligence and identifying targets.
- According to IDF assessments, Syria is not interested in
an armed confrontation, but has stepped up its preparations for
war since last year's Israel-Hizbullah conflict. Due to the lack
of communication between the two countries, the IDF assessment
is that a war could erupt sometime in the coming year if a diplomatic
resolution is not reached first. If war breaks out, the IDF believes
Syria would fire thousands of long- and short-range missiles
at Israeli cities. The assumption is that a war with Syria would
erupt due to a "miscalculation" along the border, in
the form of a terrorist attack that escalates into a larger conflict.
- Syria has come to believe that the United States will attack
Iran this summer, and that as a result, Israel will once more
go to war with Hizbullah. If that happens, Syria believes Israel
will not confine its operations to Lebanon, but will also strike
Syrian targets.
- Syria has transferred several hundred medium-range missiles
to Hizbullah, The Jerusalem Post has learned, which has completely
replenished its weapon supplies, exhausted during last summer's
war. The missiles include 220-mm. and 302-mm. Katyusha rockets
that have ranges of up to 60 kilometers.
- The IDF suspects that Hizbullah may have received more advanced
Iranian and Syrian missiles, with the assumption being that any
weapon small enough to fit into a standard 12-meter shipping
container has been sent to the guerrilla group by the two countries.
Turning to Iran, the assumption is that Teheran will continue
to advance with its nuclear program, in defiance of United Nations-imposed
sanctions and resolutions. Continued: www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1184063445286&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
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ISRAEL MUST APPEASE SYRIA TO AVERT WAR - IDF
Despite Israel's far superior claim to the Golan, all its recent
leaders - at least some motivated by a sincere desire to make
peace - have indicated a willingness to surrender the heights.
By Stan Goodenough
July 12, 2007 - The Israel Defense Forces believes that if war
should erupt between Israel and Syria, it would be far more destructive
than last summer's conflict with the Lebanese Hizb'allah. "Ten
times worse," according to sources quoted in The Jerusalem
Post Wednesday. The recommendations of those making this assessment
is that Israel must engage Syria in peace talks as soon as possible
in order to avert such a war. Israel's peacemaking history suggests
the Jewish state will resort to appeasement to try mollify the
aggressors in Damascus.
- Syria demands - with the full support of the international
community - that Israel hand over the Golan Heights if it wants
to live in peace: The state of war with continue until the Jews
relinquish the plateau.
- Despite Israel's far superior claim to the land, all its
recent leaders - at least some motivated by a sincere desire
to make peace - have indicated a willingness to surrender the
Golan. The Golan Heights were included in the inheritance of
the Israelite half-tribe of Manasseh, which settled them three-and-a-half
millennia ago. At the time of Jesus, 2000 years ago, they were
part of Roman-occupied Judea.
- Their inhabitants revolted against Rome, which responded
by killing and driving out the Jews.
- In the second half of the 1800s and the first two decades
of the 1900s, returning Jews purchased tracts of land and established
communities on the Golan. Arab marauders and rioters killed some
of them and drove the rest off their lands in 1920.
- In 1967, Israel took the heights from Syria in a war of self
defense. They have been under Israel's control for 40 years,
and part of the sovereign State of Israel since 1981. Syria held
the heights for a mere 26 years from its independence until the
Six Day War. During that time, the Arabs used the Golan solely
as a platform from which to shoot Jews in the Upper Galilee kibbutzim
and on Lake Kinneret. Israel's presence on the heights - from
which the IDF can monitor events deep inside Syria - has helped
keep that frontier the quietest of all Israel's borders. Continued:
http://www.jnewswire.com/article/2037
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- PERES MOVES INTO BEIT HANASSI
Jul. 16, 2007 - By GREER FAY CASHMAN - JPost.com - President
made a positive impression in his first meeting on Monday with
Beit Hanassi staff members, not just because of the reputation
that precedes him, but because of his attitude. Peres met each
staff member, looking them full in the face and asking their
names and what they do. "We didn't need him to be introduced
to us," said one staff member who asked not to be quoted
by name. "We all know who he is and we're very proud to
be working with him."
- The neighbors across the street were also happy, and some
were hanging over their balconies, cameras ready, to photograph
his arrival. Unfortunately, they were disappointed. The car in
which Peres was transported to Jerusalem from his private residence
in Tel Aviv had the windows shaded.
- Speaking with the staff in general terms, Peres emphasized
that above all, the presidency must not disappoint the citizens.
He respected the employees of Beit Hanassi, he said, and asked
them for their full partnership in fulfilling the expectations
of the nations' people.
- "I want you to understand what a great privilege it
is to serve the state," said the man who has done so for
more than two thirds of his life. Moshe Mizrahi, Beit Hanassi's
deputy director-general, told Peres that everyone at the presidential
residence would help him carry out his role in every possible
way.
- Prior to his inauguration on Sunday, Peres's staff made no
alterations to the presidential Web site. Until late Sunday afternoon,
the site contained the biographies and photo albums of former
president Moshe Katsav and his wife, Gila. Only after Peres officially
took the oath of office was the Web site changed. Continued:
- http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1184613675560&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
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- ANALYSIS: BUILDING A BRIDGE OVER TROUBLED WATERS
- Jul. 17, 2007 - By HERB KEINON Just over five years ago,
in a dramatic Middle East policy speech that led the way to the
road map to peace US President Bush essentially said that Yasser
Arafat was not a partner for peace. That speech lent a great
deal of justification to Israel's quarantine of Arafat in his
Mukata compound in Ramallah.
- A similar theme ran through Bush's remarks on Monday night.
But this time it was not just one man that the US president was
placing beyond the pale, but an organization - Hamas - with a
massive following and a territorial base much more significant
than the Mukata.
- As a result, sidelining Hamas will be much more difficult
than isolating Arafat.
- But if the speech five years ago led to the launching of
the road map, Monday night's speech laid the foundation of an
overpass aimed at bridging the current difficult reality.
- This reality can be summed up as follows: Palestinian Authority
Chairman Mahmoud Abbas can make all the right declarations, but
does not have the ability to assert his authority over all the
West Bank and Gaza, and Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is limited
- because of the bitter Israeli experience of the last seven
years and his own political weakness - as to what he is now able
to offer the Palestinians.
- Hence the bridge. And the bridge that Bush laid out Monday
night is based on new Quartet envoy Tony Blair, and the regional
"meeting" that Bush called for in the fall. Continued:
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1184613675901&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull
IRAN'S OIL REVENUE RUNNING DRY, IRAN'S ECONOMIC WOES
- COULD MAKE THE COUNTRY UNSTABLE
- Iran is suffering a staggering decline in revenue from its
oil exports, and if the trend continues income could virtually
disappear by 2015, according to an analysis published this week
in a journal of the National Academy of Sciences.
- Iran's economic woes could make the country unstable and
vulnerable, with its oil industry crippled, Roger Stern, an economic
geographer at Johns Hopkins University, said in the report and
in an interview.
- Iran earns about $50-billion (U.S.) a year in oil exports.
The decline is estimated at 10 to 12 per cent annually. In less
than five years exports could be halved and then disappear by
2015, Mr. Stern predicted.
- For two decades, far longer than its designation by U.S.
President George W. Bush in January 2002 as part of the “axis
of evil,” the United States has deployed military forces
in the region in a strategy to pre-empt emergence of a regional
superpower.
- Iraq was stopped in the 1991 Persian Gulf War, but a hostile
Iran remains a target of U.S. threats.
- The U.S. military exercises have not stopped Iran's drive.
But the report said the country could be destabilized by declining
oil exports, hostility to foreign investment to develop new oil
resources and poor state planning, Mr. Stern said.
- Mr. Stern's analysis, which appears in this week's edition
of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, supports
U.S. and European suspicions that Iran is trying to develop nuclear
weapons in violation of international understandings. But, Mr.
Stern says, there could be merit to Iran's assertion that it
needs nuclear power for civilian purposes “as badly as it
claims.”
- He said oil production is declining and both gas and oil
are being sold domestically at highly subsidized rates. At the
same time, Iran is neglecting to reinvest in its oil production.
- “With an explosive demand at home and poor management,
the appeal of nuclear power, financed by Russia, could fill a
real need for production of more electricity.”
- Iran produces about 3.7 million barrels a day, about 300,000
barrels below the quota set for Iran by the oil cartel, the Organization
of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
- The shortfall represents a loss of about $5.5-billion a year,
Mr. Stern said. In 2004, Iran's oil profits were 65 per cent
of the government's revenues.
- “If we look at that shortfall, and failure to rectify
leaks in their refineries, that adds up to a loss of about $10-billion
to $11-billion a year,” he said. “That is a picture
of an industry in collapse.”
- If the United States can “hold its breath” for
a few years it may find Iran a much more conciliatory country,
he said. And that, Mr. Stern said, is good reason to belay any
instinct to take on Iran militarily.
- “What they are doing to themselves is much worse than
anything we could do,” he said.
- “The one thing that would unite the country right now
is to bomb them,” Mr. Stern said. “Here is one problem
that might solve itself.” http://www.injesus.com/index.php?module=message&task=view&MID=QB007BEH&GroupID=AA006SGW#6
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